Closing one chapter, Opening the next

As those of you who have been closely watching Heyo have probably guessed, it is not, in fact, coming soon.

Since founding Heyo in May of 2010, I worked on several exciting businesses with several extremely talented people. That journey, however, has come to an end.

In November, I, and the Heyo Board, decided to put together a plan to return the cash and assets of the business to the investors. I plan to at some point write a much longer post to explain the set of circumstances that led to this decision, but this is not that post. (If you ask me in person, I'm happy to share. It's just a little too soon to do so in front of the entire internet.)

Since we started putting together the shut-down plan in November, I have been evaluating a number of opportunities to start other startups, or join existing ones.

Around that time, I was asked to take a look at a project called Moveline, which has big ambitions in the household goods moving industry. The result is, after several weeks of working with the team, I'm extremely excited to be joining Kelly Eidson in taking the Moveline project and introducing it as a new startup. There will be much more to come about Moveline in 2012, and we're both extremely excited about it.

The Anxiety of Distraction is as Distracting as Distraction

Work
When I design a software system, I'll typically design the system in my mind first, then map it into code. Depending on the complexity of the system, there is a ton to keep track of, and as the system is coded, new issues are identified and the design is modified.

When I become distracted, it takes a really long time to get back up to speed. If I lose the mental model of the system I'm building, I need to regenerate the model before I can continue to build. This is why long stints of uninterrupted time are most productive for a software developer: A very complex system can be designed and mapped to code. Interruptions to this process add significant overhead, and can easily double or triple development time.

Over the last few months though, I've noticed in myself another distraction that is more costly than interruption. If I am in a situation where I know it is possible that I will be interrupted, I'm limited in how much concentration I can bring to a task. This anxiety comes in many forms, but is almost always external. It can be as simple as sitting next to a friend or co-worker who you think might say something to you. It can also be something like knowing that you have an appointment coming up within the hour, and that you won't be able to get very far with your task before having to abandon the mental model and focus on something else. 

When building a software system, the effect is that I cannot get very deep into the mental model, which limits the scope, complexity, and quality of the system I am working on.

There are many ways to deal with this anxiety. In a work environment, the best is probably the headphone rule: If someone is wearing headphones, you don't bother them, unless something is really important. We're talking imminent physical danger important, like a fire (or worse, if the website goes down). To be effective, this shouldn't be implied, it should be explicit. In order for me to really concentrate, I have to know that people around me aren't simply deterred because of the headphones: they should know that this is a concrete rule.

In startups, for people who do both business and technical activities, try Paul Graham's maker time vs. manager time. Picking a time when you know it is unlikely you'll get a phone call or visit, and can devote yourself completely to some productive task, leaves you free from the anxiety of distraction.

I think this is also a great argument for having co-founders who are specialized, and another argument against being a single founder. Having one person be a full-time developer, and trusting another co-founder to take care of every other task, can be an incredibly powerful combination.

In corporations, if your developers are on a four-hour work, lunch break, four-hour work schedule, make sure those four-hour blocks are uninterrupted. If I come in to the office at 9am, and have a 10:30 meeting scheduled, and then lunch is typically around noon, it will be 1pm before I actually can confidently dive into a complex project. If the decision is made to leave sacred certain times for developers, make that decision a policy that everyone knows, and encourage developers to fight back if someone encroaches on that time. 

The ability to quickly design and code very complex systems with a high degree of quality is why really good developers are worth 50x or 100x as much as average developers, and the biggest software companies have budgets in the hundreds of thousands of dollars range to recruit them. Don't let the threat of someone tapping your developer on the shoulder cripple them.

 

TechStars Wildcard NYC

Last week, TechStars invited ten companies to come to New York for a new program called TechStars Wildcard. The feedback for these ten companies was that the selection team really liked the founders, but didn't like the idea they were working on. The program was very informal: a meeting at the TechStars NYC office for all the founders to meet each other, then a week to re-apply. The expectation was that ideas would change, and new teams would possibly form. (For some numbers, we were told over 1000 companies applied, about 25 were selected as finalists, and the ten of us were selected as Wildcards.)

Heyo was one of the companies invited. The decision to even attend was tough. I've been working on Heyo from San Francisco for the last few weeks, and it would cost a significant amount to fly to NY for a week last-minute. I considered it for a couple days and talked with a couple of my mentors and our current investors. It was a big risk: in addition to the cost, it would be a huge distraction, and by definition, accepting it meant we would be willing to start fresh with a new idea. It also sounded really exciting, and was unprecedented as far as I know of in the seed-stage incubator world. I bought a one-way SF-NY redeye the night before (I wasn't sure how long I'd be there), packed my suitcase, and flew to New York.

We met at the TS office a block off Union Square in Manhattan. About 30 of us founders sat in a circle, and were joined by a handful of mentors from the TechStars team. After a brief explanation from David Tisch of how the Wildcard program would work, we went around the circle and introduced ourselves. 

It was an amazingly talented group of people. Having founded Heyo straight out of college, I felt I was definitely one of the less impressive people there based on professional accolades. There were folks with backgrounds in private equity, VC, real estate, politics, hedge funds, high-frequency trading and obviously technology. Importantly, and to TechStars credit, pretty much everyone was also either a designer or a developer.

After going around the circle, the structured part of the Wildcard program was over, and we all mingled at the TechStars office for a few hours getting to know each other and talking about new ideas. Interestingly, it seemed that probably more than half of the companies there were building something similar to Heyo: a consumer product that required massive adoption to be successful, but was still in development or didn't have significant traction yet. (A sophisticated tech investor will tell you that companies like this are hard to fund, because there are thousands of companies trying to build the next consumer mobile/web tool to get mass adoption, and if you're only picking one, it's unlikely that you'll be able to pick the right one.)

After a couple hours, they kicked us out of TechStars, and a group of us went out to dinner. The discussions that night, and over the next couple of days were incredible. Imagine this: a dozen people sitting around a table. Nobody has a full-time job: everyone has either founded a company, or is living off savings while working on one. The stakes are incredibly high: a successful applicant gets investment from TechStars, and access to some of the best-known mentors and investors in the tech world. And everybody is willing to take a huge risk on a huge new idea.

Over those couple of days, we talked about a huge number of new ideas, from new approaches to health care and education, to multi-use retail space, to hover-boards. We even discussed the prospect of starting a new company with a dozen founders. The common thread of the conversation was, "What would this industry look like if we built it from the ground up? Would it look significantly different than it does today?"

After a couple of days of meeting with everyone, we started splitting into smaller groups, and working on more specific ideas. I won't go into details on what I worked on just yet, but I ended up teaming up with a couple other guys and spending the next couple of days working on a new idea in real estate. We ran around New York for a few days meeting with everyone who we could get time with, spent a couple days cold-calling potential customers, and by the weekend, had significantly fleshed out what this new company could look like. We re-applied a few minutes before the deadline, then headed out of the city.

The last few days, we've been building a simple minimum viable product to put in front of potential customers. We received word last night that we would not be accepted to the TechStars program. Despite that, we are continuing to work on this concept and may be forming a new company soon.

Thank you to Dave Tisch, Adam Rothenberg, and the other mentors at TechStars for inviting us and advising us over those few days. Thanks also to Jesse and WeWork for letting us work out of your sweet office for a few days. Thanks to Judd, Benjie, Dave, David, Roger, David, Sam, Matt, Nicolas, and Will for making the week awesome.

If you have experience working, building things, or investing in companies in the real estate rental market, please email me, fred at heyo dot com. Also, we're still looking for another technical co-founder, so if you're interested in getting in on the ground floor of something awesome, please get in touch. We think we might be starting in Chicago.

A One-Way Ticket to SFO

Yesterday, I flew to SF on a one-way ticket. I’m sleeping on a friend’s couch right now (plug: check out HeardAbout!).

At Heyo, we have been evaluating for some time the possibility of moving out of Blacksburg, VA, to a place that is more of a startup hub. In the last few months, we’ve spent time in New York, Austin, and the San Francisco Bay Area. We have decided on California, and a couple days ago, the time and ticket fare were right ($120, non-stop IAD to SFO, thanks HipMunk), so I bought a ticket and flew out. I packed a carry-on with clothes and coffee supplies, and my backpack with my laptop and business stuff.

There are many reasons we decided to move, both personal and professional. Here they are:

Professional

Blacksburg does not have a lack of talent. Hundreds of very talented computer science and computer engineering students graduate from Virginia Tech each year, and there is a solid base of technical professionals there. The handful of major tech companies in Blacksburg that have made recruitment a priority have been quite successful in keeping students and other professionals in the area. However, there are a lack of talented engineers who are familiar with and subscribe to the startup culture. That is, they are generally not interested in (let alone possess the requisite passion for) forgoing a career to live cheap, work hard, and start a company.

The same thing that draws me to the SF Bay Area draws many others like me. We are searching for others like us, with the aptitude and ambition to build awesome companies. Over the last several decades, this has created an eco-system of innovation, investment, and mentorship unmatched in any other geographic area in the world. I understand that there is a massive talent war in the valley right now, and I don’t expect it will be easy to recruit others to join us. However, I know from experience that other developers respond very well to our company and our culture. We solve a very real problem, our market is huge, and we are building a culture that places developers at the center of our business (because, well, we’re developers). I hope this will enable us to find awesome people.

We will also begin seeking investment in the next few months. Our criteria for investors is that they have done what we want to do, which is build an awesome web business. In Blacksburg there are a handful of these people, and many of them are our investors already. Out here there are thousands(?), many who have done it many times over. I want those people invested in our business, mentoring us, and thinking about our product.

Personal

I lived in King George County, VA (pop. 25,000) for 18 years, and Blacksburg (pop. 60,000, half students) for almost 8. When I was looking for what to do after my undergraduate degree, I found excellent faculty members in Blacksburg to work with for a masters degree. When I finished my masters degree and went looking for co-founders and investors to start a company, I again found them in Blacksburg. While I have travelled extensively in the U.S., I have never lived in large city. I’m young, single, and have no financial or social obligation to be anywhere. It’s time for me to leave Blacksburg.

None of this is a knock on Blacksburg, which in the last year has seen the formation of a startup incubator, angel group, two co-working spaces for tech companies, and Virginia Tech E-Club being ranked a top entrepreneur club in the country. I’ll be back often, and a part of me will always be there.

Are we in a bubble?

Best summary of bubble/non-bubble debate I've read yet:

[Are we in a bubble?]

“Maybe,” says Naval, “Certainly valuations are creepy up quickly in all stages of deals. On the other hand, 10 years ago when we all felt like this last time the total market size for any company was at maximum 100 million potential users. Now we’re in the billions of users. Facebook connections alone bring 500 million, Twitter 200 million. 10 years ago we only connected for brief periods of time when we were at our PCs. Now we’re connected to apps all the time, everywhere we go. So maybe there’s a bubble. It’s hard to say. But we’re also looking at unprecedented opportunity.”

http://www.bothsidesofthetable.com/2011/03/22/the-magic-midnight-mind-meld/

Silicon Valley in 72 Hours

I'd never been to the Valley before. The startup I co-founded, Heyo, is currently based in Blacksburg, VA, but is planning to move out there in May. The goal of this trip was to get to know the area a bit and try to meet some folks. Armed with Paul Graham's Where to See Silicon Valley and Garry Tan's guide to where to startup your startup, I meticulously planned my 3-day west coast trip while sitting on the tarmac, waiting for the plane to de-ice in Roanoke. Here are some notable people, places, and events that made the trip awesome.

Stayed with an airbnb Co-founder
The random airbnb place in Palo Alto I got Tuesday night was the apartment of one of the 3 founders of airbnb and his wife. I won't mention his name or the place (because they don't mention it in the listing), but he and his wife were wonderful, and we talked Stanford and startups over dinner before he gave me a ride to an event that I didn't really have a plan on how to get to. Incredible first experience in the Valley.

Deepak Kamra, Christine Herron, Rudy Garza, Mark Suster, Joel Yarmon
This was Larry Chiang's Reverse VC Panel. There were probably only 25 total attendees, and the topic was "How to get a VC to mentor you". Anthony Ha and Amy Saper did a great job of keeping it moving. A couple points that stuck with me here:
- Christine Herron noted how tough it is for women to find mentors, because of how inappropriate it would have been for her to regularly spend time with an older male mentor.
- They also noted a distinct difference between being contacted by a student for help/advice vs. someone out of school. Take note here, students: when you contact powerful people, they feel good helping you out while you still have a clean slate. Once you define yourself, either with a job or a startup, you're in a different world. Take advantage (see notes on Cory Levy below).
- There seems to be an incredible contradiction about a profession where to be successful you have to meet with as many smart people, working on world-changing things, as possible, but the whole time you're looking for a reason to tell them "no".

Peter Theil (at NextGen Conference)
Peter is a very smart dude. A few notes I made from his talk include:
- He likes to invest in companies with a complex technology and complex sales process. He specifically mentioned SpaceX, and how building rockets and selling them to the federal government is pretty much as complex as it gets.
- Starting a big company is no less risky than starting a small company, so take big investment and shoot for the moon. He said they like to invest in companies that will never exit otherwise.
- He also talked about how silly it is to try to start a company in consumer internet or mobile right now, because it's incredibly crowded. Oops.

Mark Suster (again)
Mark's talk was on mistakes he made and what can be learned from them. I follow Mark's blog and he reiterated a lot of points he discusses there, so I didn't have a ton of take-aways here. I definitely love hearing a 15-minute recap of the life of an entire company, especially from the times of the dot-com bust. Tons to learn about the mentality of the industry there. Mark's subtle humor and self-deprecation also make him a pretty likable guy.

Keith Rabios
Keith has the intelligent, confident, but casual demeanor of a tech executive. I can see what makes people want to follow him. The thing that impressed me about Keith is that he is still in an operational role at a startup after all his success. That's passion.

Cory Levy
Cory is notable because he is a freshman in college in Texas and put together the NextGen Conference where the previous three speakers spoke. Awesome conference, Cory. You're money.

Founder's Den
At NextGen and for the rest of the trip, I was joined by an investor/advisor of ours at Heyo, Bill Boebel, who built a company and sold it to Rackspace a few years ago. Bill and I headed up to the city (apparently even people who live in San Jose are referring to San Francisco when they say "the city") after NextGen for a meeting with Jason Johnson and Jonathan Abrams at the new Founders Den. I doubt this post will hit their Google Alert because they just opened a few days ago and had Forbes (among other publications) in there interviewing them the same day we were there. Their idea is to fill their space with about half experienced (2nd-time +) entrepreneurs, and half first-timers, about 10 companies total. It was definitely an incredibly experienced group that they have put together there, and a beautiful space.

Twitter HQ
A couple blocks up from Founders Den is Twitter's HQ. A friend of Bill’s from Rackspace who recently left for Twitter to work on Cassandra big-data applications, was still at work and brought us up to the Twitter offices to take a look around. It doesn't seem that long ago that nobody outside of the Valley took Twitter seriously. Being in this awesome office with hundreds of engineers was very cool - some kind of odd proof for me that going for a big world-changing idea that people will mock as a real business really can "work out". It was 7pm on a Thursday and there was still a lot of activity at Twitter... their legal team was even having a mini happy hour.

Awesome View of the City
On the way to dinner, Bill accidentally put us on the Bay Bridge. (We turned around on Treasure Island.) On the way back we had the most incredible view of San Francisco I'd ever seen, with the Golden Gate Bridge as a backdrop to the newly lit city in the early evening. If you've never been to SF, I recommend accidentally taking the Bay Bridge.

Peruvian, Margharitas, Racer 5, and Bikers
Wednesday night we went out in San Francisco with some friends. It was a damn fun night, with one of the highlights being randomly running into Alex Polvi and a friend at Zeitgeist at 12:30am having grilled cheese sandwiches. Alex's company, Cloudkick, was recently acquired by Rackspace, and interestingly Alex knew all about me and Heyo, having reviewed our YC application in the Fall (we weren't accepted). That makes him one of probably five people in California who knew what Heyo was back in early November before we released our initial apps.

Citizen Space
Thursday morning, after a slow start and driving around the city a bit in the morning (including the squiggly road), I checked out a few coworking spaces around the city while Bill was in meetings all day. First was Citizen Space, which has a great location on 2nd street. Apparently this was the first space of its kind in the city when it got started (2006?). I like that it's not expensive and not-for-profit, and the folks I talked to there were very down-to-Earth. Very quiet and casual.

Pier 38
Everyone we spoke to about coworking spaces in the city mentioned Pier 38 as an awesome place to work. Part of the space is Polaris Ventures/Dogpatch Labs, and the rest is managed separately. I hadn't had any luck with getting in touch with a Dogpatch person, and couldn't find any other contact info regarding the space, so I just dropped in. After getting a bit of work done in the cafe area, I got to chat with Ken Thom, the manager of the space. Ken is the nicest guy I've ever met, and the space is amazing. Beautifully furnished, awesome location, awesome views, and startups we read about everyday housed there.

SOMAcentral
SOMAcentral had been recommended to me, but I couldn't find anything about it online. Ken manages this space as well though, and it worked out that he was able to show me around this space too (it is a few blocks away from Pier 38). This space was much more officey and less open than Pier 38, but had some amazing companies and some offices with excellent views of the city. Thanks, Ken!

pariSoma
If Pier 38 and SOMAcentral had a classy, professional-but-still-startup feel, pariSoma felt much younger and scrappier. It's a few blocks away in a different part of town than the others I went to (North part of The Mission), and definitely felt a bit more indie. I think the major difference is that Pier 38 and SOMAcentral had mostly angel- and venture-funded startups, while pariSoma probably had mostly seed-funded and bootstrapped startups. They're moving into a much larger new space in a few weeks (right around the corner from the current space) as well.

Facebook House/HQ
Thursday afternoon we headed back down towards Palo Alto, this time taking I-280 instead of the 101. Good call, Paul. We took the Sand Hill Road exit, and Bill pointed out all the big VC firms, though the buildings are all incredibly nondescript. Bill had found the address to the original Facebook house somewhere online, and as we weaved through some neighborhoods to avoid traffic, we kind of stumbled upon Facebook Headquarters, which seems to be in a very residential part of Palo Alto. When we finally came across the Facebook House, it was predictably unremarkable, though I will say I was disappointed that I couldn't even find it as a location on Facebook Places. (Sorry to whoever actually lives there, it probably gets old having cars creep slowly by while trying to perform a check-in.)

500 Startups
Thursday evening was the 500 Startups/Startup2Startup holiday party at the new 500 Startups incubator space off Castro Street (in Mountain View). Bill is a mentor and LP in the fund, and this was the grand opening of the new space (guessing that's why it was a holiday party in January). So, Dave McClure knows how to throw a party, or at least how to budget for one. Amazing food, top shelf open bar, a pirate doing magic tricks, and a photo booth with pirate paraphernalia were the highlights. It also seemed like every venture fund sent somebody along (met Bill’s friend Yujin at Andreessen Horowitz), as well as all the major tech blogs (even Scoble). It was my first SV party, so I have no idea if that is the norm or exception for seed-stage incubator parties, but it was quite the experience.

Breakfast at Joanie's off California Av.
I wouldn't necessarily mention this as noteworthy (though the breakfast crepe with smoked apple sausage at Joanie's was phenomenal), but after seeing so many "celebrities" of the valley in the previous couple of days, I'd be remiss to not mention this experience: After a delightful breakfast with a friend who is a hardware engineer at Apple, I found myself face-to-face with Paul Graham while walking out of the restaurant. I stammered the wittiest thing I could conjure ("Hey, Paul Graham!"), which I think made us both instantly uncomfortable, and I slinked away. Sorry, pg.

Plug and Play Labs
After a few minutes of downtime in a coffee shop on University Avenue, we had a late-morning appointment at Plug and Play down in Sunnyvale. I was supposed to give a two-minute pitch to a group of "Executives in Residence", though didn't realize I needed an accompanying slide deck (for a two-minute presentation) until we arrived and everyone else had one. I had no idea how many slides to make (for a two-minute presentation), so I took my normal deck and trimmed it to… two: product and team. It turned out everyone else was pitching enterprise hardware/software, and ran way over. I'm not sure to be proud of the fact that I stuck to the constraint, or silly for not doing my full pitch, but we inferred some good feedback from the questions asked after, so I'm happy with the outcome. For Plug and Play itself, it was the opposite of the coworking spaces in the city: all cubicles, and more corporate feeling, though I definitely got the impression that everyone was there to just get work done, (plus it was the middle of the day, so there weren't any events going on, which they apparently do a lot of.) It kind of follows the general trend we saw from different areas on the trip: if you want to just get work done (hammer out an MVP), down in the valley is great. If culture and lifestyle are also important to you, the city is the place to be.

Google
After Plug and Play, Bill had a meeting on Sand Hill Road, so after dropping him off, I only had about an hour, so I drove back down to Mountain View to check out the Google campus. Even though it was basically an office park, it definitely had the feel of a university campus. There were rec fields adjacent to it, lots of green space in general, and those funny colorful bicycles. Everyone riding those colorful bicycles seemed so care-free, which was probably because of how goofy people look on a bike that is a little too small for them.

Majesty
After picking up Bill and dropping him off at SFO, I had a few more hours until my redeye, so I went back up to the city to have dinner with a couple more friends. I had some down-time before they got off work, and stumbled across Fort Mason, where I walked around for about an hour or so and took some touristy photos. The highlight here was watching the fog roll in to the bay. Every few minutes, it would creep a bit farther around the mountains on the south side and claim more of the Golden Gate. It's been a long time since I've seen something I'd describe as majestic. The fog was.

Thanks for reading!

 

Infrastructure Costs

I've explained to many, many people why now is an excellent time to start an internet business, but the anecdote from Mark Suster below about the drop in cost is an awesome articulation of the point. Costs fell by an order of magnitude from 1999 to 2005. They have fallen by AT LEAST another order of magnitude from 2005 to today. From Mark:

When I started my first company in 1999 we spent more than $2 million on technology infrastructure including Sun servers & Solaris operating system, Oracle databases, EMC storage, load balancers, app servers, back-up devices, disk mirrors and on and on.  That is excluding a single line of code or paying any salaries.  No wonder people had to raise $5 million just to get started back then.  We raised $16.5 million in our A round.  Hardware ate just over 10% of the round.

We put all of this infrastructure in an Exodus web hosting facility and had to pay for rack space, bandwidth and some management services if a disk failed, for example.

When I started my second company in 2005 we decided to do everything differently.  By then the open-source movement had really developed.  We were able to use an open source database (Postgres), open source search (Lucene) and a host of other free components including Apache Tomcat, JBoss.  We still bought our own physical infrastructure: horizontally scalable application servers, load balancers, etc.  So I still had to outlay $50-80k for hardware costs.  So we only had to raise $500,000 to get going and again hardware ate just over 10% of the round.

And further down:

Imagine that you can develop software on your local computer but the entire service is delivered virtually through a partner in the same way people consumer energy with all of the scale benefits that go with that.  They deal with energy management, security, physical device failures, etc.

This has allowed people to get started for $50,000 and spend just $5,000 on hardware – again around 10%.

Full: http://www.bothsidesofthetable.com/2010/12/09/data-is-the-next-major-layer-of-the-cloud-a-major-victory-for-startups/

 

There Is No Bubble

A lot of smart people have recently been hinting that the current climate in the startup world (systematic increase in valuations, “hot deals” with very high valuations, increasing cost of talent, and a sharp uptick in number of startups receiving seed funding) is not rational or sustainable. People are tip-toeing around using the word bubble, but it’s insinuated that some sort of crash, or at least a decline is impending. I respectfully disagree.
 
The same technology and market forces that are encouraging a rise in seed incubators and seed-stage investments are driving up the valuations of the companies coming out of these programs. The fact that it is cheaper than it has ever been to start a company also means it is cheaper than it has ever been to grow a company.
 
In Econ 101, we learned that the cost of a barrel of oil has nothing to do with the actual cost of drilling the oil, and everything to do with what people are willing to pay for it. This is how gas can be $4.40 per gallon and Exxon makes record profits: the market price is completely de-coupled from the actual cost of production.

The same thing is happening in startups today. The valuation of a startup has nothing to do with the actual cost of running the startup: the number of employees, how many years (or months) they have been in business, are irrelevant to the assigned price tag. It has everything to do with what an investor is willing to pay to be a part of the financing round. In a rational market, what an investor will pay is based on the potential size the startup could someday be, offset by the risk that the company will never achieve that size.

Today, a startup can get much farther than it could just a few years ago on much, much less. A couple of talented developers can spend a quarter of a year patching together existing technologies and external APIs, put a beautiful, simple interface on it, and have a company with the same potential as one that just a few years ago it would take a dozen engineers a year to build. Social media and inbound marketing can drive significant traffic without spending a dime on direct advertising.

Hence, a company coming out of an incubator program such as YCombinator with only two-three employees is getting the same valuation as one that not too long ago was several times that size and years older. Because of that, many more investors are willing to take the risk on a couple of developers, hence the spike in seed investment. (For this same reason, the labor cost of a very talented developer at a large company is also increasing.)

So, there is no bubble. All that has happened is that the valuations of companies are finally starting to reflect the new norm, which is that a company can build something significant much faster, and with fewer people than has ever been possible.

 

Life, and how to survive it

"So what should you do? You will find your own niche. I don’t imagine you will need to look very hard. By this time in your life, you will have a very good idea of what you will want to do. In fact, I’ll go further and say the ideal situation would be that you will not be able to stop yourself pursuing your passions"

"Find that pursuit that will energise you, consume you, become an obsession. Each day, you must rise with a restless enthusiasm. If you don’t, you are working."